Biaschesi vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biaschesi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
FCB
1 - 2
GCB
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
GCB
3 - 3
RAP
14%
20%
66%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 0
GCB
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GCB
1 - 1
ESC
9%
16%
75%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FCM
3 - 2
GCB
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
RAP
2 - 2
LUG
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 2
ESC
17%
19%
64%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 3
CHA
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ZUG
2 - 0
LUG
79%
13%
8%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 0
HON
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |