Gazélec Ajaccio vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
61.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ASS
2 - 0
GAZ
71%
20%
9%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GAZ
2 - 2
TFC
25%
28%
47%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CAE
2 - 0
GAZ
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
GAZ
1 - 1
REN
19%
26%
55%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 1
GAZ
64%
22%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
REN
1 - 4
NIC
37%
26%
36%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ASS
1 - 4
NIC
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
NIC
6 - 1
GIR
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 3
NIC
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NIC
0 - 1
GUI
50%
26%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |