Gazélec Ajaccio vs Cassis-Carnoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
2º
6º
2º
25
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 76.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
GAZ
16%
23%
61%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
GAZ
4 - 1
IST
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NIC
0 - 1
GAZ
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GAZ
2 - 1
CAN
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
RSV
3 - 3
GAZ
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cassis-Carnoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
CAS
16%
21%
64%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
IST
2 - 0
CAS
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |