Gazélec Ajaccio vs Arles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
31%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
VAN
3 - 3
GAZ
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
IST
2 - 0
GAZ
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
GAZ
0 - 0
CAE
23%
26%
51%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
GAZ
0 - 1
NIO
50%
26%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
SPI
1 - 1
GAZ
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
ARL
1 - 0
GUI
36%
27%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
ARL
0 - 0
LEN
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
LHA
1 - 2
ARL
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
LMU
1 - 1
ARL
54%
26%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
ARL
1 - 0
MET
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |