Gauthiod vs Herrestads AIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
40%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
11º
14º
13º
45
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gauthiod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KUM
2 - 0
GAU
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
GAU
1 - 6
VFK
63%
19%
19%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TRO
4 - 0
GAU
86%
10%
4%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LJU
1 - 3
GAU
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FBK
3 - 2
GAU
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LID
3 - 2
HER
38%
23%
39%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
KUM
63%
20%
18%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
TIK
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FBK
3 - 1
HER
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
STE
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |