Gaúcho vs Guarani RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaúcho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
CAC
0 - 5
GAU
34%
24%
42%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GLO
2 - 0
GAU
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
GAU
1 - 2
ECA
23%
23%
55%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
PAS
1 - 1
GAU
65%
19%
17%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GAU
1 - 1
SSR
45%
24%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
SSR
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
GLO
2 - 1
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
PAS
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
ECA
0 - 0
GUA
66%
19%
14%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
CAC
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |