Gaúcho vs Gramadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaúcho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
ESP
2 - 0
GAU
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
GAU
3 - 0
RSC
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
GLO
1 - 1
GAU
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
GAU
0 - 1
NOV
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
ECS
2 - 2
GAU
81%
14%
5%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Gramadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
GRA
3 - 1
AIM
21%
21%
58%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
BRA
0 - 3
GRA
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
GEB
1 - 0
GRA
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
GRA
0 - 0
ISM
19%
22%
59%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
GRA
0 - 0
PAS
23%
23%
55%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |