Gateshead vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GAT
2 - 2
ALT
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
GAT
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
GAT
1 - 1
CHE
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
GRI
2 - 1
GAT
61%
23%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GAT
2 - 3
DOV
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
WOR
0 - 1
NUN
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 0
SOL
28%
26%
46%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SOL
1 - 1
WOR
64%
21%
14%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
UNM
0 - 2
WOR
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
WOR
2 - 0
HOL
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |