Gateshead vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
EAS
0 - 3
GAT
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
GAT
0 - 2
AFC
33%
26%
42%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
LUT
2 - 2
GAT
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
GAT
3 - 0
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
GAT
6 - 0
HAM
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
DAR
1 - 0
BRA
38%
26%
35%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BIS
0 - 1
DAR
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
DAR
4 - 1
FAR
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
DAR
1 - 1
STA
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ASH
0 - 1
DAR
36%
23%
41%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |