Garforth Town vs Newcastle Blue Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
44.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Garforth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
GAR
2 - 3
COL
33%
24%
44%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
GAR
2 - 3
ROU
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
OSS
2 - 1
GAR
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
CHO
4 - 1
GAR
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
GAR
4 - 1
HAR
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Newcastle Blue Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
TRA
2 - 4
NBS
31%
23%
45%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 2
NBS
19%
22%
60%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
NBS
2 - 0
SAL
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
LAN
1 - 4
NBS
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
NBS
1 - 3
TRA
67%
19%
15%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |