Garde Nationale vs Ksar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Garde Nationale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
GDN
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
GDN
5 - 1
ITT
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
TOU
2 - 2
GDN
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ZEM
2 - 2
GDN
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
GDN
1 - 0
POL
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ksar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2016 |
KSA
2 - 0
ITT
51%
22%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
KSA
2 - 1
POL
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
SNI
3 - 0
KSA
50%
26%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
KSA
0 - 1
TEV
52%
25%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
TID
1 - 0
KSA
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -13 |