Gardabani vs Samegrelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gardabani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
KOL
0 - 0
GAR
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
GAR
3 - 5
BET
46%
24%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 1
GAR
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
GAR
0 - 1
IME
43%
25%
33%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
GAR
0 - 3
SHU
22%
23%
56%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Samegrelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 0
ZUG
12%
19%
68%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
MES
2 - 1
SAM
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 2
GUR
14%
23%
63%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
ADU
2 - 1
SAM
79%
14%
8%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
SAM
5 - 2
MAT
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |