Gardabani vs Samegrelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
14%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gardabani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
BET
1 - 3
GAR
44%
20%
36%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
GAR
1 - 0
KOL
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2017 |
GAR
0 - 0
IME
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2017 |
GAR
1 - 0
MAR
45%
21%
34%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 1
GAR
45%
21%
34%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Samegrelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
SAM
0 - 3
SHE
23%
21%
56%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
NOR
4 - 0
SAM
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2017 |
SAM
1 - 2
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2017 |
CHI
3 - 1
SAM
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
SAM
3 - 0
IME
20%
23%
57%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +4 |