Gap vs Albi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
AND
1 - 1
GAP
28%
28%
45%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
GAP
4 - 2
CAB
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
GAP
1 - 0
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 1
GAP
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
GAP
1 - 0
MON
63%
21%
15%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Albi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
ALB
1 - 1
LUZ
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
ALB
0 - 2
AND
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
CAB
1 - 1
ALB
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ALB
3 - 0
SPO
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
MON
0 - 0
ALB
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |