Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 0-4
Gandzasar vs Titograd Podgorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gandzasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
MLA
1 - 0
GAN
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
SHI
0 - 0
GAN
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
GAN
2 - 1
BAN
62%
24%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
GAN
1 - 1
PYU
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 2
GAN
23%
28%
49%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Titograd Podgorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
MLA
1 - 0
GAN
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
MLA
1 - 0
PAR
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
MLA
7 - 2
LOV
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
BUD
0 - 3
MLA
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
MLA
6 - 2
JED
76%
17%
7%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |