Gamba Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 0
KAA
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
CER
1 - 2
GAM
46%
22%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
GAM
3 - 2
MAC
90%
8%
3%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
JUB
2 - 1
GAM
34%
24%
42%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
GAM
2 - 2
FCT
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
YFM
0 - 1
KAR
42%
25%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
OMI
2 - 3
KAR
32%
25%
44%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
KAR
1 - 0
YOK
88%
10%
3%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
KAA
2 - 0
KAR
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
KAR
1 - 0
VIS
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |