European U21 Championship qualifying Round 1

Gales U21 vs Moldavia U21 analysis

Gales U21 Moldavia U21
56 ELO 44
-2.2% Tilt -6.5%
3682º General ELO ranking 6160º
23º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
67%
Gales U21
19.6%
Draw
13.4%
Moldavia U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
Gales U21
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.4%
Win probability
Moldavia U21
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gales U21
+10%
-11%
Moldavia U21

ELO progression

Gales U21
Moldavia U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gales U21
Gales U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2020
BEL
Bélgica U21
5 - 0
Gales U21
WAL
72%
18%
10%
56 70 14 0
04 Sep. 2020
BIH
Bosnia U21
1 - 0
Gales U21
WAL
53%
23%
23%
56 58 2 0
19 Nov. 2019
WAL
Gales U21
1 - 0
Bosnia U21
BIH
34%
26%
40%
55 59 4 +1
11 Oct. 2019
MDA
Moldavia U21
2 - 1
Gales U21
WAL
15%
22%
63%
56 43 13 -1
10 Sep. 2019
WAL
Gales U21
1 - 5
Alemania U21
GER
7%
13%
80%
57 83 26 -1

Matches

Moldavia U21
Moldavia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2020
MDA
Moldavia U21
1 - 0
Bélgica U21
BEL
5%
13%
82%
44 71 27 0
09 Oct. 2020
MDA
Moldavia U21
0 - 5
Alemania U21
GER
4%
11%
86%
44 82 38 0
08 Sep. 2020
MDA
Moldavia U21
1 - 1
Bosnia U21
BIH
15%
22%
63%
43 59 16 +1
03 Sep. 2020
GER
Alemania U21
4 - 1
Moldavia U21
MDA
89%
9%
3%
44 82 38 -1
15 Oct. 2019
BEL
Bélgica U21
4 - 1
Moldavia U21
MDA
80%
14%
5%
44 68 24 0