Wales U21 vs Ireland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
DEU
2 - 1
WLS
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
WLS
3 - 0
MDA
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
BEL
5 - 0
WLS
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
BIH
1 - 0
WLS
53%
23%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
WLS
1 - 0
BIH
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
LUX
1 - 2
IRL
14%
20%
67%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
IRL
1 - 2
ISL
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 0
IRL
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
IRL
4 - 1
SWE
16%
21%
63%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
ARM
0 - 1
IRL
22%
23%
55%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |