Wales U17s vs Rusia U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
69.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U17s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 0
WLS
85%
11%
4%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 0
WLS
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SVN
0 - 3
WLS
51%
24%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
WLS
0 - 0
SCT
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
HUN
5 - 5
WLS
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Rusia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
RUS
1 - 1
CHE
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 1
RUS
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
RUS
1 - 2
ISL
63%
21%
17%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
RUS
1 - 0
AZE
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
RUS
2 - 1
SVK
62%
21%
18%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |