Lowland League round 36

Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Gretna 2008 analysis

Gala Fairydean Rovers Gretna 2008
24 ELO 17
10.4% Tilt 8.4%
10421º General ELO ranking 12326º
89º Country ELO ranking 101º
ELO win probability
68.7%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
16.7%
Draw
14.6%
Gretna 2008

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
Gala Fairydean Rovers
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
14.6%
Win probability
Gretna 2008
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Gala Fairydean Rovers
Their league position
Gretna 2008
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
14º
12º
26
11º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Spartans
79
79
100%
Rangers FC II
74
77
100%
Celtic II
76
76
100%
Stirling University
71
71
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
65
65
100%
East Kilbride
64
64
100%
Berwick Rangers
61
61
100%
Civil Service Strollers
58
58
100%
Bo'ness United
54
54
100%
Caledonian Braves
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Broomhill FC
11º
51
51
11º
0%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Hearts II
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Cowdenbeath
15º
36
36
15º
100%
East Stirlingshire
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Gretna 2008
17º
26
26
17º
100%
AFC Edinburgh University
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Dalbeattie Star
19º
8
8
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gala Fairydean Rovers
Gretna 2008
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Gala Fairydean Rovers
Gretna 2008
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gala Fairydean Rovers
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2023
HOM
Hearts II
3 - 0
Gala Fairydean Rovers
GAL
76%
14%
10%
25 37 12 0
18 Mar. 2023
STI
Stirling University
2 - 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers
GAL
79%
14%
8%
24 44 20 +1
11 Mar. 2023
GAL
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
41%
24%
36%
24 31 7 0
25 Feb. 2023
GAL
Gala Fairydean Rovers
2 - 3
Bo'ness United
BON
34%
23%
43%
25 31 6 -1
11 Feb. 2023
GAL
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 - 2
East Stirlingshire
THE
43%
22%
35%
26 27 1 -1

Matches

Gretna 2008
Gretna 2008
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2023
EAS
East Kilbride
3 - 0
Gretna 2008
GRE
85%
10%
5%
18 43 25 0
26 Mar. 2023
SPA
Spartans
3 - 0
Gretna 2008
GRE
87%
10%
3%
18 47 29 0
18 Mar. 2023
GRE
Gretna 2008
3 - 3
Broomhill FC
BFC
13%
16%
71%
17 34 17 +1
11 Mar. 2023
BON
Bo'ness United
3 - 0
Gretna 2008
GRE
83%
11%
6%
18 32 14 -1
25 Feb. 2023
GRE
Gretna 2008
0 - 4
Civil Service Strollers
CIV
17%
19%
64%
19 33 14 -1