Gainsborough Trinity vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VAU
1 - 2
GAI
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
GAI
1 - 1
TOW
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
GUI
2 - 0
GAI
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
STA
1 - 1
GAI
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GAI
0 - 1
GLO
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ALT
5 - 0
HIS
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
ALT
2 - 4
CHE
29%
25%
47%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VAU
2 - 1
ALT
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
TOW
1 - 2
ALT
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 4
BRA
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -2 |