Gainsborough Trinity vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
14.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
ALT
4 - 1
GAI
36%
25%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
BRE
7 - 1
GAI
62%
21%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1997 |
GAI
2 - 3
LIN
45%
23%
31%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1997 |
LIN
1 - 1
GAI
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1912 |
GAI
0 - 0
STO
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -4 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
ALF
2 - 1
BRA
26%
26%
49%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |