Gagra II vs Amirani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
35.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 2
GAG
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
GAG
4 - 1
APK
77%
13%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2015 |
IBE
0 - 2
GAG
41%
21%
38%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
GAG
1 - 1
SHA
78%
13%
9%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
BAK
0 - 3
GAG
9%
14%
77%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Amirani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2015 |
AMI
1 - 5
TSK
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
VOY
5 - 2
AMI
52%
22%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
AMI
2 - 3
KOL
79%
14%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
GAR
3 - 0
AMI
36%
25%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2015 |
MZI
2 - 1
AMI
62%
20%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |