Gagra vs Shukura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
10º
7º
11
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 1
GAG
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GAG
0 - 0
GOR
15%
24%
60%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SAB
5 - 0
GAG
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GAG
0 - 2
DBA
12%
22%
65%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FTK
4 - 1
GAG
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Shukura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SHU
0 - 0
FTK
16%
25%
59%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 2
SHU
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SHU
2 - 3
DTB
10%
20%
70%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
GOR
5 - 1
SHU
76%
17%
7%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SHU
0 - 2
TEL
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |