Gagra vs Lazika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 0
GAG
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
GAG
0 - 2
MET
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 0
GAG
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
GAG
3 - 0
SAM
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BET
5 - 2
GAG
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lazika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
LAZ
2 - 2
MES
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
MER
0 - 0
LAZ
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
LAZ
2 - 1
IME
49%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
LIA
4 - 1
LAZ
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CHI
59%
21%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |