Gagra vs Kolkheti Poti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
5º
10º
8º
12
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 68 |
1º
|
64% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 58 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 57 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 56 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 56 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 47 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 41 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 41 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 32 |
10º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1.5% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
47% | 40.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
38.5% | 42% |
|
Relegation
|
13% | 14% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2025 |
SAM
0 - 2
GAG
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
GAG
1 - 1
DBA
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
GOR
2 - 0
GAG
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
FTK
2 - 1
GAG
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
GAG
0 - 1
SAB
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kolkheti Poti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2025 |
GAR
4 - 1
KOL
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
DTB
3 - 0
KOL
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
KOL
1 - 0
TEL
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
KOL
2 - 1
SAM
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
KOL
0 - 2
DBA
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |