Gaflenz vs St. Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 0
GAF
34%
24%
42%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GAF
1 - 0
KOT
52%
22%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
ZWE
5 - 1
GAF
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
ARD
2 - 2
GAF
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
GAF
1 - 2
SOL
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -3 |
Matches
St. Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
STP
4 - 0
ZWE
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LEO
3 - 1
STP
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
GOT
1 - 3
STP
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
STP
3 - 2
WUR
48%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
STP
0 - 1
SVS
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -2 |