Gafanha vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 1
GAF
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 1
OLI
58%
22%
21%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CES
2 - 1
GAF
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 0
GAF
47%
23%
29%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 2
SAN
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 1
SAN
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BUS
2 - 1
MOR
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
LUS
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
LUS
33%
25%
42%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
3 - 1
MOR
21%
22%
58%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -2 |