Gaddafi vs SC Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaddafi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
UGA
2 - 2
GAD
34%
22%
44%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
GAD
1 - 3
VIP
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BUL
1 - 1
GAD
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
GAD
1 - 0
AHS
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
UPD
2 - 2
GAD
38%
26%
37%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
SCV
2 - 2
URA
34%
28%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
MCF
1 - 0
SCV
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
SCV
2 - 1
OND
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
SCV
1 - 2
BUL
37%
28%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
EXP
0 - 0
SCV
55%
25%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |