Uganda League Round 1

Gaddafi vs Busoga United analysis

Gaddafi Busoga United
41 ELO 38
-3.6% Tilt -1.4%
8889º General ELO ranking 37123º
14º Country ELO ranking 52º
ELO win probability
68.7%
Gaddafi
19.2%
Draw
12.1%
Busoga United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
Gaddafi
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.1%
Win probability
Busoga United
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gaddafi
-5%
-18%
Busoga United

ELO progression

Gaddafi
Busoga United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gaddafi
Gaddafi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2021
KIB
Kiboga Young
1 - 0
Gaddafi
GAD
8%
14%
77%
50 15 35 0
06 Apr. 2021
GAD
Gaddafi
1 - 0
Kiboga Young
KIB
80%
13%
6%
50 15 35 0
26 Jan. 2020
GAD
Gaddafi
0 - 0
MYDA
MYD
50%
22%
28%
50 47 3 0

Matches

Busoga United
Busoga United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 May. 2021
KCC
KCCA FC
3 - 1
Busoga United
JIN
72%
17%
11%
37 42 5 0
18 May. 2021
JIN
Busoga United
0 - 4
Express SC
EXP
39%
27%
34%
39 42 3 -2
14 May. 2021
MYD
MYDA
3 - 0
Busoga United
JIN
44%
23%
33%
40 34 6 -1
11 May. 2021
JIN
Busoga United
1 - 1
Wakiso Giants
WAK
46%
23%
31%
37 39 2 +3
08 May. 2021
KIT
Kitara
2 - 2
Busoga United
JIN
41%
23%
35%
37 30 7 0