Série D Brazil Preliminary Round Final
Global 5-1
GA Sampaio vs Santana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
12.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GA Sampaio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
SEC
1 - 2
GAS
32%
22%
47%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ARO
2 - 1
GAS
30%
21%
49%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
GAS
1 - 0
SAO
27%
22%
51%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
GAS
2 - 0
RIO
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
NAU
0 - 2
GAS
37%
22%
41%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
SEC
1 - 2
GAS
32%
22%
47%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
YAP
2 - 0
SEC
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
SEC
1 - 2
YAP
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
SEC
1 - 0
SAN
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 2
SEC
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |