UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Fylkir vs FK Riga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylkir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2008 |
FYL
0 - 1
GRI
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
FKR
1 - 2
FYL
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2008 |
THR
4 - 6
FYL
39%
25%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
KRR
3 - 0
FYL
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2008 |
FJO
1 - 0
FYL
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FK Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
FKR
1 - 2
FYL
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
FKR
1 - 1
DIN
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
FKR
3 - 1
FKD
60%
22%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
VVE
1 - 2
FKR
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
LIE
2 - 2
FKR
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |