Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 2-4
Fylkir vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylkir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
FRA
2 - 3
FYL
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2002 |
FYL
2 - 0
KEF
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2002 |
KAA
0 - 2
FYL
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2002 |
FYL
2 - 1
FHH
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
FYL
1 - 3
IAA
45%
25%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2002 |
SDL
0 - 3
EXC
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 3
BRU
21%
22%
57%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
BRU
2 - 0
EXC
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
EXC
2 - 0
LIE
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
GNK
3 - 1
EXC
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |