Fylde vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
CHO
3 - 2
FYL
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
GAR
0 - 3
FYL
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
WAR
1 - 4
FYL
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
FYL
0 - 3
TRA
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
FYL
2 - 1
LEG
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
WAK
0 - 3
CUR
41%
26%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
OSS
2 - 4
CUR
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
SKE
2 - 2
CUR
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
CUR
1 - 2
BRI
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
HAL
1 - 0
CUR
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |