FVC vs MSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
52.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SCN
3 - 1
FVC
60%
20%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
FVC
0 - 1
RKH
39%
22%
39%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
FVC
1 - 2
SPO
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
FVC
3 - 0
SWZ
26%
23%
52%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +4 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALV
0 - 3
FVC
51%
21%
27%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MSC
2 - 5
ROH
57%
22%
22%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
JUL
1 - 1
MSC
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
MSC
1 - 2
ONS
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 1
MSC
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MSC
5 - 0
JOU
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |