FVC vs MSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SVB
2 - 5
FVC
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FVC
3 - 1
VVA
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SCE
1 - 3
FVC
49%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
FVC
5 - 0
STE
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CVV
1 - 2
FVC
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MSC
10 - 3
TAN
79%
13%
7%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CVV
0 - 1
MSC
29%
24%
48%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 0
MSC
34%
25%
42%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MSC
4 - 3
SVB
46%
24%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
GRC
0 - 5
MSC
23%
24%
54%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |