FVC vs MSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
GRC
1 - 1
FVC
38%
25%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MSC
3 - 1
FVC
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
FVC
1 - 3
CVV
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
VAA
4 - 2
FVC
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
FVC
0 - 3
SCE
41%
25%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MSC
3 - 0
BER
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MSC
3 - 1
FVC
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
SCE
2 - 2
MSC
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
MSC
4 - 0
GRC
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
VVA
1 - 1
MSC
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |