FVC vs Alverna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ROH
3 - 1
FVC
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FVC
1 - 0
DEB
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
HOO
2 - 2
FVC
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FVC
1 - 1
MSC
25%
23%
53%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
QUI
7 - 0
FVC
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ALV
1 - 1
ALC
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SWZ
0 - 2
ALV
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ALV
2 - 3
USV
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ALV
2 - 1
ROH
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
DEB
1 - 0
ALV
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |