FVC vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 8
FVC
17%
19%
64%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FVC
5 - 2
GVA
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FVC
4 - 0
STE
80%
13%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
VOO
1 - 1
FVC
21%
21%
58%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ANN
2 - 1
FVC
12%
17%
71%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 2
BEQ
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MSC
2 - 2
ALC
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
QUI
3 - 2
ALC
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ALC
3 - 0
ROH
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
ALC
3 - 1
NIE
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |