Lauda vs SSV Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
64.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
FVL
2 - 2
FCE
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
WAL
1 - 0
FVL
59%
24%
17%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
SVS
2 - 0
FVL
66%
22%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
FVL
2 - 1
HOF
27%
26%
47%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
STU
0 - 1
FVL
53%
25%
22%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SSV Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
FRE
0 - 1
ULM
15%
22%
64%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
ULM
3 - 1
CRA
78%
14%
9%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
HEI
0 - 0
ULM
47%
23%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
ULM
5 - 0
FCE
87%
9%
4%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
WAL
1 - 1
ULM
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |