Barquisimeto vs Puerto Cabello II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+126%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
7º
2º
23
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 51 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 48 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 47 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 40 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 38 |
6º
|
39.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 33 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 32 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 26 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 23 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 22 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
95.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barquisimeto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2025 |
DRZ
4 - 0
FLD
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
FLD
1 - 1
ATL
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2025 |
TRU
3 - 4
FLD
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
TRU
1 - 0
FLD
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
FLD
4 - 0
FRO
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Puerto Cabello II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
PUE
0 - 1
FRO
15%
20%
66%
|
14 | 56 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
URE
2 - 0
PUE
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 56 | 42 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
PUE
0 - 0
ATL
17%
21%
62%
|
14 | 52 | 38 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
TIT
4 - 1
PUE
72%
18%
11%
|
14 | 60 | 46 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
TRU
0 - 0
PUE
68%
20%
12%
|
13 | 66 | 53 | +1 |