Fulham vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
BIR
1 - 4
FUL
23%
27%
50%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BPO
1 - 0
FUL
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FUL
3 - 0
STO
52%
25%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
BIR
0 - 2
FUL
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FUL
2 - 0
HUL
49%
24%
26%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
REA
3 - 1
POS
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
REA
3 - 3
QPR
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
HUR
4 - 0
REA
34%
28%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
COV
2 - 1
REA
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
REA
2 - 3
BRI
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |