Fulham vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
55.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
FUL
40%
28%
32%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
CHL
1 - 1
FUL
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
FUL
0 - 5
MUD
16%
22%
61%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
FUL
2 - 0
BOL
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
FUL
2 - 2
OBK
61%
20%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
ARS
1 - 0
QPR
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2011 |
ARS
1 - 1
WOL
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
ASV
1 - 2
ARS
19%
22%
59%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 0
ARS
47%
23%
30%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ARS
1 - 0
EVE
64%
21%
15%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | -1 |