Premier League Round 12

Fulham vs Arsenal analysis

Fulham Arsenal
83 ELO 92
-12.4% Tilt -8.4%
80º General ELO ranking 18º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
20.9%
Fulham
25.6%
Draw
53.6%
Arsenal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
Fulham
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
53.6%
Win probability
Arsenal
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fulham
-4%
+1%
Arsenal

ELO progression

Fulham
Arsenal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fulham
Fulham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2002
DZG
Dinamo Zagreb
0 - 3
Fulham
FUL
64%
20%
16%
82 84 2 0
27 Oct. 2002
SOU
Southampton
4 - 2
Fulham
FUL
48%
26%
26%
83 81 2 -1
23 Oct. 2002
FUL
Fulham
0 - 1
West Ham
WHU
49%
25%
26%
83 81 2 0
19 Oct. 2002
FUL
Fulham
1 - 1
Manchester United
MUD
18%
23%
59%
83 92 9 0
06 Oct. 2002
FUL
Fulham
1 - 0
Charlton Athletic
CHA
57%
24%
19%
83 79 4 0

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2002
BVB
B. Dortmund
2 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
35%
27%
39%
92 89 3 0
26 Oct. 2002
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 2
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
78%
14%
8%
92 84 8 0
22 Oct. 2002
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 2
Auxerre
AUX
76%
16%
8%
93 87 6 -1
19 Oct. 2002
EVE
Everton
2 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
19%
25%
56%
93 79 14 0
06 Oct. 2002
ARS
Arsenal
3 - 1
Sunderland
SUN
81%
13%
7%
93 80 13 0