Premier League 2 Division One Normal Season Round 12

Fulham U21 vs Arsenal U21 analysis

Fulham U21 Arsenal U21
59 ELO 53
22.8% Tilt 12%
3255º General ELO ranking 4036º
83º Country ELO ranking 110º
ELO win probability
55.2%
Fulham U21
21.4%
Draw
23.3%
Arsenal U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
Fulham U21
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.3%
Win probability
Arsenal U21
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fulham U21
-5%
-18%
Arsenal U21

Points and table prediction

Fulham U21
Their league position
Arsenal U21
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
11º
33
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Man. City U21
47
47
100%
Fulham U21
45
45
100%
Chelsea U21
38
38
0%
West Ham U21
38
38
0%
Man. Utd U21
36
36
100%
Crystal Palace U21
35
35
100%
Southampton U21
34
34
100%
Arsenal U21
33
33
100%
Newcastle U21
32
32
100%
Leicester U21
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Brighton & Hove U21
11º
30
30
11º
100%
Everton U21
12º
29
29
12º
100%
Sunderland U21
13º
28
28
13º
0%
Wolves U21
14º
28
28
14º
0%
Nottingham Forest U21
15º
27
27
15º
0%
Liverpool U21
16º
27
27
16º
0%
Leeds United U21
17º
25
25
17º
0%
West Bromwich U21
18º
25
25
18º
0%
Middlesbrough U21
19º
22
22
19º
100%
Reading U21
20º
21
21
20º
100%
Blackburn Rovers U21
21º
20
20
21º
100%
Tottenham Hotspur U21
22º
19
19
22º
0%
Derby County U21
23º
19
19
23º
0%
Norwich City U21
24º
18
18
24º
100%
Stoke City U21
25º
15
15
25º
100%
Aston Villa U21
26º
12
12
26º
100%
Expected probabilities
Fulham U21
Arsenal U21
Final Series
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Fulham U21
Arsenal U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fulham U21
Fulham U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2025
SOU
Southampton U21
5 - 0
Fulham U21
FUL
31%
24%
46%
60 46 14 0
06 Jan. 2025
CRY
Crystal Palace U21
0 - 1
Fulham U21
FUL
39%
24%
38%
59 54 5 +1
13 Dec. 2024
FUL
Fulham U21
4 - 0
Derby County U21
DCO
73%
16%
11%
59 39 20 0
10 Dec. 2024
FUL
Fulham U21
5 - 3
Hertha BSC U21
HER
85%
10%
5%
59 11 48 0
29 Nov. 2024
FUL
Fulham U21
2 - 1
Leeds United U21
LUS
68%
18%
14%
59 45 14 0

Matches

Arsenal U21
Arsenal U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 2024
ARS
Arsenal U21
1 - 2
Sunderland U21
SUN
55%
22%
23%
56 52 4 0
01 Dec. 2024
ARS
Arsenal U21
1 - 1
Brighton & Hove U21
BHA
43%
23%
34%
56 58 2 0
12 Nov. 2024
COL
Colchester United
3 - 0
Arsenal U21
ARS
32%
22%
46%
57 56 1 -1
01 Nov. 2024
CHE
Chelsea U21
2 - 1
Arsenal U21
ARS
51%
24%
26%
58 59 1 -1
28 Oct. 2024
BRO
Blackburn Rovers U21
3 - 4
Arsenal U21
ARS
28%
23%
49%
58 41 17 0