Fuentes vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 2
FUE
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FUE
2 - 1
MAL
43%
25%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FUE
2 - 1
PED
79%
15%
7%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
UDS
1 - 2
FUE
60%
21%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CDM
2 - 0
FUE
38%
25%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UDM
1 - 1
CDM
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 3
UDM
23%
24%
53%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LAA
0 - 0
UDM
35%
26%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
UDM
4 - 0
GAL
71%
16%
12%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UDC
2 - 2
UDM
39%
26%
35%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |