Fuentes vs Cella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
DEL
0 - 3
FUE
17%
20%
64%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FUE
4 - 0
HER
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 3
FUE
17%
20%
64%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
FUE
1 - 0
SAG
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
QUI
1 - 1
FUE
26%
24%
50%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 0
ATL
33%
26%
42%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CEL
0 - 3
DEL
49%
24%
28%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
HER
2 - 0
CEL
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 0
ALC
39%
24%
38%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SAG
3 - 2
CEL
40%
23%
37%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |