Copa del Rey . 1/128
Global 3-1
San Fernando de Henares vs CD Colonia Moscardó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
57.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Fernando de Henares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
COL
1 - 0
FUE
88%
9%
3%
|
8 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
CD Colonia Moscardó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
SFE
3 - 0
COL
86%
10%
4%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
CDS
0 - 0
COL
37%
27%
36%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -3 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
COL
1 - 0
FUE
88%
9%
3%
|
32 | 8 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
COL
3 - 1
ZAR
40%
30%
30%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +4 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
VAL
1 - 1
COL
63%
24%
13%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |