FK Metta vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
9º
7º
25
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 2
FSM
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
VAL
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 3
AUD
24%
28%
48%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 2
CAR
18%
25%
57%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 0
FSM
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 1
FKJ
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 0
FKJ
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 1
GRO
28%
25%
48%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 1
FKJ
68%
21%
12%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 3
VAL
14%
22%
64%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |