Norwegian Fourth Division Round 1

Frøya vs Bjarg analysis

Frøya Bjarg
28 ELO 39
10.6% Tilt 8%
42087º General ELO ranking 3858º
435º Country ELO ranking 54º
ELO win probability
19.4%
Frøya
18.6%
Draw
62%
Bjarg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
Frøya
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
62%
Win probability
Bjarg
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Frøya
-15%
+21%
Bjarg

Points and table prediction

Frøya
Their league position
Bjarg
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
52
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Viking FK II
64
64
100%
Vidar
57
57
100%
Bjarg
52
52
100%
Djerv 1919
51
51
100%
Brodd
40
40
100%
Stord
39
39
100%
Frøya
31
31
100%
Sandnes Ulf II
30
30
0%
Staal Jørpeland
30
30
0%
Loddefjord
10º
29
29
10º
100%
Madla
11º
28
28
11º
100%
Fyllingsdalen
12º
27
27
12º
100%
Eiger
13º
19
19
13º
100%
Bremnes
14º
15
15
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Frøya
Bjarg
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Frøya
Bjarg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Frøya
Frøya
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2022
FFK
Frøya
4 - 2
Os Turn
OTF
14%
16%
70%
24 38 14 0
15 Oct. 2022
SAN
Sandviken
1 - 3
Frøya
FFK
75%
14%
11%
22 33 11 +2
08 Oct. 2022
FFK
Frøya
0 - 4
Nordstrand
NOR
10%
15%
75%
24 45 21 -2
01 Oct. 2022
KJF
Kjelsås II
4 - 1
Frøya
FFK
44%
22%
34%
25 25 0 -1
24 Sep. 2022
OPP
Oppsal
0 - 1
Frøya
FFK
75%
14%
11%
25 35 10 0

Matches

Bjarg
Bjarg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2023
SSK
Sotra SK
1 - 0
Bjarg
BJA
70%
17%
12%
40 51 11 0
17 Mar. 2023
BJA
Bjarg
0 - 3
Brann II
BRA
28%
22%
50%
40 47 7 0
18 Feb. 2023
SSK
Sotra SK
5 - 0
Bjarg
BJA
68%
18%
14%
40 51 11 0
23 Oct. 2022
SAN
Sandnes Ulf II
1 - 1
Bjarg
BJA
45%
22%
34%
40 38 2 0
16 Oct. 2022
BJA
Bjarg
2 - 1
Fana
FAN
19%
20%
61%
38 49 11 +2